Let us assume that a dukal family like Avan, Boeruine, Diemed, Alam etc, all of them having an average blood around 45 has 3 sons, 3 daughters (with clerical magic the survival rate of kids should be much greater than our historic version), one of which inherits the throne and the rest get married to fellow peers or vassals to cement alliances.
Looking at over a millenium of imperial history and considering that even if some noble families were unbloodes in the beginning - the stupidest scenario - peasant hero rescues Avan and gets the princes and half the throne - i.e. his son would have Anduiras major 30. - I think it is reasonable to assume that every noble in Anuire would be blooded by now, as lesser blooded families further married to other unblooded families and so on.
My argument is that every province in Anuire (a county) would have at least one ruling noble family, whereas the City of Anuire, Endier, Ilien, Daulton, Seasedge etc could have dozens.
Taking into account all the 3rd sons of the 3rd sons and all the bastards that nobles sire with peasant girls (if this is sexist I apologize in advance, but I’m using cliches and historical parallels) how many blooded individuals would be out there really?
If the nobility comprises about 5% of the population I would say that after a thousand years there would be at least 10% of blooded people in Anuire, which amounts to a whole lot. I
Some estimates I’ve found on the net place the total population to about 1,5 million, or the population of England during William I
5% = 75,000 blooded characters
10% (my, admittedly arbitrary assumption about the distribution of blood in the peasantry) = 150,000
Of course, the vast majority of these bloodlines would be tainted and minor (rulebook gives 25 % for tainted and 50% minor, but this is of course, because PCs already come from established bloodlines), with 20-30 major bloodlines and only a few percent of great ones on the global scale these would probably ne only the select and known few)
50% tainted
51-85% minor
86-99% major
that would be my suggestion but its not very relevant to the matter.
What I am implying is a picture vastly different than what the setting seems to portray. Blooded characters would definitely not be that rare.
Why Even if an Avan with 70 were to repeatedly marry commoners the generations would give 35/17/8/4/2/1 With only 3 kids per generation that’s 486 people in the final generation. Cut half for accidents and childless and you get 240+ tainted blooded families.
I don’t think however that a civilized society woud tolerate highlander behavior and the destruction of bloodlines through bloodtheft for long, really, and forced divestiture seems equally evil and chaotic
So… Is Anuire an empire with 30 blooded families or 10,000?
Since all guilders in Anuire are blooded and none or very few seem to be nobles it is safe to assume that there is a good number of those as well. Howere a number of 100,000 blooded characters seems to ba safe estimate
Here is another thing that’s been weighing on my mind. The levels of the characters.
Let’s assume once again that 5% of the population have levels. (ie. aren’t 0-level nobodies). Additionaly I’ll assume that 30% of the blooded population have levels. Although one can argue (as it states in BoP) that 0 level characters can be administrators in temple holdings, I have yet to find a single 0 or 1st level regent in Birthright). Consequently it seems that blooded characters are “destined” for great things, making thm more prone to choosing classes. Since the primary duty of a noble is either to fight or pray, this seems reasonable. (All knights train since the age of 7)
5% of the general population is 150,000, 30,000 of which are blooded (30% of the blooded 100,000)
I don’t have the book on me here that deals with the demographics (High Level Campaign I think) but I remember that the general distribution of characters was something like this
40% fiighters
30% rogues
25% clerics
5% wizards/magicians (probably at a ratio of 1:5)
Level distribution is progressive (not sure about the term, but the point is that 1/2 is 1st level and then 1/2 of that 2nd etc)
level–total-----fighters----rogues-----clerics-----mages
1st–75,000-----30,000-----22,500-----18,750------3,750
2nd-37,500-----15,000-----11,250------9,375-------1,875
3rd-18,750------7,500------5,625-------4,687---------937
4th—9,375------3,750------2,812-------2,343---------468
5th—4,687------1,875------1,406-------1,171----------234
6th—2,343--------937--------703---------585----------117
7th—1,171--------468---------351--------292------------58
8th-----585--------234---------175--------146------------29
9th-----292--------117----------87----------78------------14
10th----146----------58----------43----------39-------------7
11th-----73----------29----------21----------19-------------3
12th-----36----------14----------10-----------9--------------1
13th-----18-----------7------------5-----------4
14th-------9-----------3------------2-----------2
15th-------4
16th-------2
17th-------1
All right, what would these numbers say. If we take into account the fact that blooded abilities allowed the survivors of Deismaar to climb to power much faster than the rest of the population I believe it is safe to assume that all (or most) character of level 9+ are blooded. This gives me the possibility to play with the numbers.
Firstly I’ll disregard the 15-17th level as these are easily the Gorgon, Rhuobhe, the Chamberlain, HMA etc.
I’ll take clerics as the group of interest since Juan and I were discussing how and why the humans defeated the elves with “overwhelming clerical magic” as it says in Anuirean history. There are 136 clerics here capable of casting 5th level spells (9-11) 13 for 6th level and 2 for the 7th level. In the days of the Empire this would probably have been the patriarch of the Imperial Temple and the patriarch/matriarch of Nesire?
In total that’s 151 clerics capable of raising the dead (of course, some don’t get the necromancy sphere etc but its still impressive).
In the lower level group the numbers get enormous. Almost 5,000 capable of 2nd level magic, 1600 of 3rd level and 450 of 4th level. Now that’s an army Smile I guess that even if a portion of this great force is used against an elven kingdom to support the human fighters it can be devastating, especially if high level fighters or mages can be brought back to life.
For peacetime conditions..
The total number of provinces in Anuire is about..140 or so (I’m too lazy to count). This means that there can be an 8th level cleric in each of them, a 9th level for every two, a 10th level for every 4 and an 11th level cleric for each of the twelve duchies (with a few excess). Of course these would be split between the various faiths and sects, but the total is still interesting.
This excercise in math seems to indicate one thing.
At any time a realm like Avanil, Ghoere, Boeruine, Diemed… could have access to a mid level (9-11) fighter, rogue (perhaps) or priest.
This would also explain why someone like Avanil wouldn’t have to fear adventurers or assassins that much: If your personal guard is composed of 6-10 7th level fighters (and someone like Avan could afford it) with a 10th level captain, then throw in the court chaplain, a 9th level priest, and perhaps a 7th level magician (or wizard) this comes close to resemble the fantasy model we’re used to in other settings. Of course, each of these is entitled to demand a salary and I wouldn’t be surprised if the bodyguards alone were to cost more than a company of knights but heck, some people can afford it Wink
So when Joe the Chaotic Evil adventurer tries to whack a prince of Avanil he can get stomped real easy by his guard (7th level fighters are a force to be reckoned with in a low magic world) or the bodyguard, even without the magica assistance of the spellcasters. Much more plausible than a world in which everyone seems to be either 0 level or low level.
Any thoughts?